WonBundesliga29 November 2025

1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Augsburg prediction

1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Augsburg, 29 November 2025: we published 1899 Hoffenheim Win at 1.67, model probability 69%. It won (3-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.

Our published pick
1899 Hoffenheim Win
Match Result
1.67
Odds we published
Implied 60%
68.5%
Model probability
+8.8 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won3-0

How this pick was made

A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.

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