LostUEFA Conference League11 December 2025
Aberdeen vs Strasbourg prediction
Aberdeen vs Strasbourg, 11 December 2025: we published Aberdeen Win at 4.67, model probability 34%. It lost (0-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Aberdeen Win
Match Result
4.67
Odds we published
Implied 21%
34.1%
Model probability
+12.7 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost0-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.