WonUEFA Conference League18 December 2025
AEK Athens FC vs Universitatea Craiova prediction
AEK Athens FC vs Universitatea Craiova, 18 December 2025: we published AEK Athens FC Win at 1.44, model probability 68%. It won (3-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
AEK Athens FC Win
Match Result
1.44
Odds we published
Implied 69%
67.9%
Model probability
-1.4 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won3-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.