WonUEFA Champions League5 November 2025
Ajax vs Galatasaray prediction
Ajax vs Galatasaray, 5 November 2025: we published Galatasaray Win at 2.08, model probability 53%. It won (0-3). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Galatasaray Win
Match Result
2.08
Odds we published
Implied 48%
52.8%
Model probability
+4.6 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won0-3
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.