WonFIFA World Cup28 June 2026
Algeria vs Austria prediction
Algeria vs Austria, 28 June 2026: we published Over 2.5 at 3.20, model probability 49%. It won (3-3). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Over 2.5
Over/Under Goals
3.20
Odds we published
Implied 31%
48.8%
Model probability
+17.6 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won3-3
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.