WonLigue 112 December 2025
Angers vs Nantes prediction
Angers vs Nantes, 12 December 2025: we published Angers Win at 2.14, model probability 57%. It won (4-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Angers Win
Match Result
2.14
Odds we published
Implied 47%
56.7%
Model probability
+10.0 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won4-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.