WonFIFA World Cup17 June 2026
Argentina vs Algeria prediction
Argentina vs Algeria, 17 June 2026: we published Argentina Win at 1.43, model probability 63%. It won (3-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Argentina Win
Match Result
1.43
Odds we published
Implied 70%
63.2%
Model probability
-6.8 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won3-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.