WonUEFA Europa League29 January 2026
Aston Villa vs Red Bull Salzburg prediction
Aston Villa vs Red Bull Salzburg, 29 January 2026: we published Aston Villa Win at 1.44, model probability 69%. It won (3-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Aston Villa Win
Match Result
1.44
Odds we published
Implied 69%
68.6%
Model probability
-0.8 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won3-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.