WonLa Liga22 December 2025
Athletic Club vs Espanyol prediction
Athletic Club vs Espanyol, 22 December 2025: we published Espanyol Win at 4.96, model probability 32%. It won (1-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Espanyol Win
Match Result
4.96
Odds we published
Implied 20%
31.7%
Model probability
+11.5 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won1-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.