LostFIFA World Cup14 June 2026
Australia vs Türkiye prediction
Australia vs Türkiye, 14 June 2026: we published Türkiye Win at 1.71, model probability 55%. It lost (2-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Türkiye Win
Match Result
1.71
Odds we published
Implied 58%
55.2%
Model probability
-3.2 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost2-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.