WonBundesliga14 February 2026
Bayer Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli prediction
Bayer Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli, 14 February 2026: we published Bayer Leverkusen Win at 1.49, model probability 70%. It won (4-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Bayer Leverkusen Win
Match Result
1.49
Odds we published
Implied 67%
70.1%
Model probability
+2.9 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won4-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.