WonUEFA Europa League17 September 2026
Beşiktaş vs Marseille prediction
Beşiktaş vs Marseille, 17 September 2026: we published Beşiktaş Win at 1.78, model probability 62%. It won (4-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Beşiktaş Win
Match Result
1.78
Odds we published
Implied 56%
61.9%
Model probability
+5.8 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won4-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.