LostSerie A1 December 2025
Bologna vs Cremonese prediction
Bologna vs Cremonese, 1 December 2025: we published Bologna Win at 1.46, model probability 71%. It lost (1-3). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Bologna Win
Match Result
1.46
Odds we published
Implied 69%
70.7%
Model probability
+2.1 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-3
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.