LostBundesliga7 December 2025
Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction
Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim, 7 December 2025: we published 1899 Hoffenheim Win at 4.92, model probability 32%. It lost (2-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
1899 Hoffenheim Win
Match Result
4.92
Odds we published
Implied 20%
32.3%
Model probability
+12.0 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost2-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.