LostBundesliga11 January 2026
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC Augsburg prediction
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC Augsburg, 11 January 2026: we published Under 2.5 at 1.94, model probability 64%. It lost (4-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Under 2.5
Over/Under Goals
1.94
Odds we published
Implied 52%
63.6%
Model probability
+12.0 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost4-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.