LostPremier League6 December 2025
Bournemouth vs Chelsea prediction
Bournemouth vs Chelsea, 6 December 2025: we published Chelsea Win at 2.16, model probability 58%. It lost (0-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Chelsea Win
Match Result
2.16
Odds we published
Implied 46%
58.1%
Model probability
+11.7 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost0-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.