LostFIFA World Cup20 June 2026
Brazil vs Haiti prediction
Brazil vs Haiti, 20 June 2026: we published Haiti Win at 22.50, model probability 8%. It lost (3-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Haiti Win
Match Result
22.50
Odds we published
Implied 4%
7.8%
Model probability
+3.3 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost3-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.