WonPremier League13 December 2025
Burnley vs Fulham prediction
Burnley vs Fulham, 13 December 2025: we published Fulham Win at 1.96, model probability 56%. It won (2-3). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Fulham Win
Match Result
1.96
Odds we published
Implied 51%
55.9%
Model probability
+4.8 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won2-3
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.