LostFIFA World Cup4 July 2026
Canada vs Morocco prediction
Canada vs Morocco, 4 July 2026: we published Canada Win at 5.14, model probability 29%. It lost (0-3). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Canada Win
Match Result
5.14
Odds we published
Implied 19%
29.3%
Model probability
+9.9 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost0-3
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.