WonUEFA Conference League6 November 2025
Celje vs Legia Warszawa prediction
Celje vs Legia Warszawa, 6 November 2025: we published Celje Win at 2.30, model probability 48%. It won (2-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Celje Win
Match Result
2.30
Odds we published
Implied 43%
48.2%
Model probability
+4.7 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won2-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.