LostUEFA Champions League8 September 2026
Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa prediction
Club Brugge KV vs Aston Villa, 8 September 2026: we published Home or Draw at 1.47, model probability 83%. It lost (2-3). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Home or Draw
Double Chance
1.47
Odds we published
Implied 68%
83.2%
Model probability
+15.2 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost2-3
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.