LostSerie A10 January 2026
Como vs Bologna prediction
Como vs Bologna, 10 January 2026: we published Como Win at 1.95, model probability 61%. It lost (1-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Como Win
Match Result
1.95
Odds we published
Implied 51%
60.9%
Model probability
+9.5 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.