LostSerie A28 December 2025
Cremonese vs Napoli prediction
Cremonese vs Napoli, 28 December 2025: we published Cremonese Win at 6.26, model probability 20%. It lost (0-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Cremonese Win
Match Result
6.26
Odds we published
Implied 16%
20.3%
Model probability
+4.3 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost0-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.