LostUEFA Conference League18 December 2025
Crystal Palace vs KuPS prediction
Crystal Palace vs KuPS, 18 December 2025: we published KuPS Win at 14.76, model probability 10%. It lost (2-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
KuPS Win
Match Result
14.76
Odds we published
Implied 7%
10.0%
Model probability
+3.3 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost2-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.