LostUEFA Conference League7 May 2026
Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk prediction
Crystal Palace vs Shakhtar Donetsk, 7 May 2026: we published Shakhtar Donetsk Win at 5.79, model probability 27%. It lost (2-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Shakhtar Donetsk Win
Match Result
5.79
Odds we published
Implied 17%
27.0%
Model probability
+9.7 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost2-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.