WonPremier League28 December 2025
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham prediction
Crystal Palace vs Tottenham, 28 December 2025: we published Tottenham Win at 3.21, model probability 33%. It won (0-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Tottenham Win
Match Result
3.21
Odds we published
Implied 31%
33.5%
Model probability
+2.3 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won0-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.