LostBundesliga13 December 2025
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg prediction
Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg, 13 December 2025: we published FC Augsburg Win at 4.43, model probability 32%. It lost (1-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
FC Augsburg Win
Match Result
4.43
Odds we published
Implied 23%
31.9%
Model probability
+9.4 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.