WonLa Liga1 March 2026
Elche vs Espanyol prediction
Elche vs Espanyol, 1 March 2026: we published Over 2.5 at 2.02, model probability 59%. It won (2-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Over 2.5
Over/Under Goals
2.02
Odds we published
Implied 50%
58.7%
Model probability
+9.2 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won2-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.