LostLa Liga7 November 2025
Elche vs Real Sociedad prediction
Elche vs Real Sociedad, 7 November 2025: we published Real Sociedad Win at 2.72, model probability 38%. It lost (1-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Real Sociedad Win
Match Result
2.72
Odds we published
Implied 37%
38.1%
Model probability
+1.3 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.