LostPremier League19 April 2026
Everton vs Liverpool prediction
Everton vs Liverpool, 19 April 2026: we published Everton Win at 3.16, model probability 46%. It lost (1-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Everton Win
Match Result
3.16
Odds we published
Implied 32%
45.6%
Model probability
+14.0 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-2
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.