LostBundesliga20 December 2025
FC Augsburg vs Werder Bremen prediction
FC Augsburg vs Werder Bremen, 20 December 2025: we published FC Augsburg Win at 2.27, model probability 49%. It lost (0-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
FC Augsburg Win
Match Result
2.27
Odds we published
Implied 44%
49.1%
Model probability
+5.0 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost0-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.