WonUEFA Conference League15 October 2026
FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga prediction
FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga, 15 October 2026: we published Home or Draw at 1.41, model probability 77%. It won (3-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Home or Draw
Double Chance
1.41
Odds we published
Implied 71%
76.5%
Model probability
+5.8 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won3-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.