WonUEFA Europa League11 December 2025
FC Midtjylland vs Genk prediction
FC Midtjylland vs Genk, 11 December 2025: we published FC Midtjylland Win at 1.82, model probability 60%. It won (1-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
FC Midtjylland Win
Match Result
1.82
Odds we published
Implied 55%
60.0%
Model probability
+5.1 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won1-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.