WonUEFA Europa League27 November 2025
FC Porto vs Nice prediction
FC Porto vs Nice, 27 November 2025: we published FC Porto Win at 1.40, model probability 74%. It won (3-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
FC Porto Win
Match Result
1.40
Odds we published
Implied 71%
73.5%
Model probability
+2.1 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won3-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.