WonSerie A21 December 2025
Genoa vs Atalanta prediction
Genoa vs Atalanta, 21 December 2025: we published Atalanta Win at 1.96, model probability 55%. It won (0-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Atalanta Win
Match Result
1.96
Odds we published
Implied 51%
54.8%
Model probability
+3.6 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won0-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.