WonSerie A12 September 2026
Genoa vs Frosinone prediction
Genoa vs Frosinone, 12 September 2026: we published Draw or Away at 1.71, model probability 70%. It won (1-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Draw or Away
Double Chance
1.71
Odds we published
Implied 58%
70.2%
Model probability
+11.7 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won1-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.