LostFIFA World Cup14 June 2026
Germany vs Curaçao prediction
Germany vs Curaçao, 14 June 2026: we published Under 2.5 at 4.78, model probability 21%. It lost (7-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Under 2.5
Over/Under Goals
4.78
Odds we published
Implied 21%
21.1%
Model probability
+0.2 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost7-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.