LostFIFA World Cup29 June 2026
Germany vs Paraguay prediction
Germany vs Paraguay, 29 June 2026: we published Germany Win at 1.71, model probability 70%. It lost (1-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Germany Win
Match Result
1.71
Odds we published
Implied 59%
70.4%
Model probability
+11.8 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.