LostLa Liga23 November 2025
Getafe vs Atletico Madrid prediction
Getafe vs Atletico Madrid, 23 November 2025: we published Getafe Win at 5.19, model probability 28%. It lost (0-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Getafe Win
Match Result
5.19
Odds we published
Implied 19%
28.3%
Model probability
+9.0 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost0-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.