LostLa Liga30 November 2025
Girona vs Real Madrid prediction
Girona vs Real Madrid, 30 November 2025: we published Girona Win at 6.65, model probability 21%. It lost (1-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Girona Win
Match Result
6.65
Odds we published
Implied 15%
21.3%
Model probability
+6.3 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.