WonBundesliga19 September 2026
Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln prediction
Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln, 19 September 2026: we published Over 2.5 at 1.60, model probability 74%. It won (2-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Over 2.5
Over/Under Goals
1.60
Odds we published
Implied 63%
73.6%
Model probability
+11.0 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won2-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.