LostBundesliga20 December 2025
Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction
Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt, 20 December 2025: we published Hamburger SV Win at 2.65, model probability 45%. It lost (1-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Hamburger SV Win
Match Result
2.65
Odds we published
Implied 38%
45.2%
Model probability
+7.6 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.