WonSerie A5 April 2026

Inter vs AS Roma prediction

Inter vs AS Roma, 5 April 2026: we published Inter Win at 1.65, model probability 63%. It won (5-2). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.

Our published pick
Inter Win
Match Result
1.65
Odds we published
Implied 61%
62.7%
Model probability
+2.2 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won5-2

How this pick was made

A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.

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