WonSerie A4 January 2026
Inter vs Bologna prediction
Inter vs Bologna, 4 January 2026: we published Inter Win at 1.40, model probability 69%. It won (3-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Inter Win
Match Result
1.40
Odds we published
Implied 71%
69.2%
Model probability
-2.2 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won3-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.