LostSerie A12 January 2026
Juventus vs Cremonese prediction
Juventus vs Cremonese, 12 January 2026: we published Under 2.5 at 2.09, model probability 66%. It lost (5-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Under 2.5
Over/Under Goals
2.09
Odds we published
Implied 48%
66.3%
Model probability
+18.4 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost5-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.