LostUEFA Champions League10 December 2025
Juventus vs Pafos prediction
Juventus vs Pafos, 10 December 2025: we published Pafos Win at 16.14, model probability 20%. It lost (2-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Pafos Win
Match Result
16.14
Odds we published
Implied 6%
20.2%
Model probability
+14.0 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost2-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.