LostUEFA Champions League4 November 2025
Juventus vs Sporting CP prediction
Juventus vs Sporting CP, 4 November 2025: we published Sporting CP Win at 3.64, model probability 28%. It lost (1-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Sporting CP Win
Match Result
3.64
Odds we published
Implied 27%
28.3%
Model probability
+0.9 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.