LostUEFA Conference League11 December 2025
KuPS vs Lausanne prediction
KuPS vs Lausanne, 11 December 2025: we published KuPS Win at 3.22, model probability 40%. It lost (0-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
KuPS Win
Match Result
3.22
Odds we published
Implied 31%
40.4%
Model probability
+9.3 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost0-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.