WonSerie A3 November 2025
Lazio vs Cagliari prediction
Lazio vs Cagliari, 3 November 2025: we published Lazio Win at 1.56, model probability 68%. It won (2-0). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Lazio Win
Match Result
1.56
Odds we published
Implied 64%
68.2%
Model probability
+4.3 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Won2-0
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.