LostLigue 18 November 2025
Le Havre vs Nantes prediction
Le Havre vs Nantes, 8 November 2025: we published Le Havre Win at 1.93, model probability 56%. It lost (1-1). Every settled pick stays published, win or lose.
Our published pick
Le Havre Win
Match Result
1.93
Odds we published
Implied 52%
56.1%
Model probability
+4.2 pts
Edge over the price
Model probability minus implied
Result
Lost1-1
How this pick was made
A Poisson model with Dixon-Coles adjustment prices the fixture from team scoring rates, recent form, shots data and confirmed availability, then compares that price with the multi-bookmaker consensus. A pick is published only where the model's probability beats the implied probability of the odds. Every published pick stays on the site after it settles, whether it won or lost.